Factors Impacting Physician Prognostic Accuracy in Heart Failure Patients With Reduced Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction

JACC: Heart Failure

Published On 2024/3/27

BackgroundA recent study showed that the accuracy of heart failure (HF) cardiologists and family doctors to predict mortality in outpatients with HF proved suboptimal, performing less well than models.ObjectivesThe authors sought to evaluate patient and physician factors associated with physician accuracy.MethodsThe authors included outpatients with HF from 11 HF clinics. Family doctors and HF cardiologists estimated patient 1-year mortality. They calculated predicted mortality using the Seattle HF Model and followed patients for 1 year to record mortality (or urgent heart transplant or ventricular assist device implant as mortality-equivalent events). Using multivariable logistic regression, the authors evaluated associations among physician experience and confidence in estimates, duration of patient-physician relationship, patient-physician sex concordance, patient race, and predicted risk, with concordant results …

Journal

JACC: Heart Failure

Published On

2024/3/27

Authors

Gordon Guyatt

Gordon Guyatt

McMaster University

Position

Professor of Medicine

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296

H-Index(since 2020)

166

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0

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0

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0

Citation(since 2020)

0

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0

Research Interests

Evidence-based medicine

University Profile Page

Sudipta Saha

Sudipta Saha

University of Toronto

Position

PhD Candidate at the

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4

H-Index(since 2020)

3

I-10 Index(all)

0

I-10 Index(since 2020)

0

Citation(all)

0

Citation(since 2020)

0

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0

Research Interests

Causal Inference

Survival Analysis

Predictive Modeling

Machine Learning

University Profile Page

Other Articles from authors

Gordon Guyatt

Gordon Guyatt

McMaster University

Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses of the Procedure-specific Risks of Thrombosis and Bleeding in General Abdominal, Colorectal, Upper Gastrointestinal, and …

Objective:To provide procedure-specific estimates of symptomatic venous thromboembolism (VTE) and major bleeding after abdominal surgery.Background:The use of pharmacological thromboprophylaxis represents a trade-off that depends on VTE and bleeding risks that vary between procedures; their magnitude remains uncertain.Methods:We identified observational studies reporting procedure-specific risks of symptomatic VTE or major bleeding after abdominal surgery, adjusted the reported estimates for thromboprophylaxis and length of follow-up, and estimated cumulative incidence at 4 weeks postsurgery, stratified by VTE risk groups, and rated evidence certainty.Results:

Gordon Guyatt

Gordon Guyatt

McMaster University

Short-and long-term effects of imatinib in patients hospitalised for COVID-19 infection: A randomised controlled trial (preprint)

We report the short-and long-term results of the SOLIDARITY Finland on mortality and other patient-important outcomes in patients hospitalised for COVID-19. Between 08/2021 and 03/2023, we randomised 156 patients in 15 hospitals. In the imatinib group, 7.2% of patients had died at 30 days and 13.3% at 1 year and in the standard of care group 4.1% and 8.3%(adjusted HR at 30 days 1.09, 95% CI 0.23-5.07). In a meta-analysis of randomised trials of imatinib versus standard of care (n= 732), allocation to imatinib was associated with a mortality risk ratio of 0.73 (95% CI 0.32-1.63). At 1-year, self-reported recovery occurred in 79.0% in imatinib and in 88.3% in standard of care (RR 0.91, 95% CI 0.78-1.06). Of the 21 potential long COVID symptoms, patients often reported moderate or major bother from fatigue (24%), sleeping problems (19%) and memory difficulties (17%). We found no convincing difference between imatinib and standard of care groups in quality of life or symptom outcomes. The evidence raises serious doubts regarding the benefit of imatinib in reducing mortality, improving recovery and preventing potential long COVID symptoms when given to patients hospitalised for COVID-19.

Gordon Guyatt

Gordon Guyatt

McMaster University

Annals of Allergy, Asthma & Immunology

Atopic dermatitis (eczema) guidelines: 2023 American Academy of Allergy, Asthma and Immunology/American College of Allergy, Asthma and Immunology Joint Task Force on Practice …

BackgroundGuidance addressing atopic dermatitis (AD) management, last issued in 2012 by the American Academy of Allergy, Asthma and Immunology/American College of Allergy, Asthma and Immunology Joint Task Force, requires updating as a result of new treatments and improved guideline and evidence synthesis methodology.ObjectiveTo produce evidence-based guidelines that support patients, clinicians, and other decision-makers in the optimal treatment of AD.MethodsA multidisciplinary guideline panel consisting of patients and caregivers, AD experts (dermatology and allergy/immunology), primary care practitioners (family medicine, pediatrics, internal medicine), and allied health professionals (psychology, pharmacy, nursing) convened, prioritized equity, diversity, and inclusiveness, and implemented management strategies to minimize influence of conflicts of interest. The Evidence in Allergy Group …

Gordon Guyatt

Gordon Guyatt

McMaster University

JAMA

Gefapixant for Chronic Cough—Reply

To the Editor Although sometimes considered the pinnacle of scientific evidence, meta-analyses can be problematic. Combining outcomes from heterogeneous trials performed in different settings or populations may give results directly applicable to few. Conclusions are also beholden to methodological design, often discordant from those of subsequent randomized clinical trials. 1 Such may be the case with the recently published dose-response meta-analysis of studies examining efficacy and tolerability of gefapixant for refractory or unexplained chronic cough. 2 Because gefapixant is the first novel efficacious therapy for refractory and unexplained chronic cough, its development involved changes in study design and participant inclusion criteria as well as drug formulation. 3 Four drug formulations were ultimately tested, with maximum bioavailability achieved for the formulation used in the phase 3 trials, such that …

Gordon Guyatt

Gordon Guyatt

McMaster University

The Lancet

Pharmacotherapy for adults with overweight and obesity: a systematic review and network meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials

Their stated aim is to summarise the “benefits and harms of weight-lowering drugs”, but the main findings and discussion focus on weight loss, without due consideration to the scarcity of evidence for benefits to health and wellbeing. For instance, quality of life and depression data are reported as low quality or insufficient, and there is no mention of the absence of long-term cardiovascular outcomes. A review on long-term effects of weight-reducing pharmacotherapy included only one trial with cardiovascular outcomes; it found no benefit.

Gordon Guyatt

Gordon Guyatt

McMaster University

Journal of Critical Care

Patient-important upper gastrointestinal bleeding in the ICU: A mixed-methods study of patient and family perspectives

IntroductionThe objective of this study was to create a definition of patient-important upper gastrointestinal bleeding during critical illness as an outcome for a randomized trial.DesignThis was a sequential mixed-methods qualitative-dominant multi-center study with an instrument-building aim. In semi-structured individual interviews or focus groups we elicited views from survivors of critical illness and family members of patients in the intensive care unit (ICU) regarding which features indicate important gastrointestinal bleeding. Quantitative demographic characteristics were collected. We analyzed qualitative data using inductive content analysis to develop a definition for patient-important upper gastrointestinal bleeding.SettingCanada and the United States.Participants51 ICU survivors and family members of ICU patients.ResultsParticipants considered gastrointestinal bleeding to be important if it resulted in death …

Gordon Guyatt

Gordon Guyatt

McMaster University

Journal of Clinical Epidemiology

The GRADE Working Group and CINeMA approaches provided inconsistent certainty of evidence ratings for a network meta-analysis of opioids for chronic noncancer pain

ObjectiveAssessment of the certainty of evidence (CoE) from network meta-analysis is critical to convey the strength of inferences for clinical decision-making. Both the GRADE Working Group (GWG) and the CINeMA framework have been designed to assess the CoE of treatment effects informed by network meta-analysis; however, the concordance of results is uncertain.Study design and settingWe assessed the CoE for treatment effects of individual opioids on pain relief and physical functioning from a network meta-analysis for chronic noncancer pain using the GWG approach and the CINeMA framework. Both approaches evaluate the CoE as high, moderate, low or very low. We quantified the number of discrepant CoE ratings between approaches, and the magnitude of the difference (i.e., 1-level, 2-levels, or 3-levels).ResultsAcross 105 comparisons among individual opioids for pain relief, the GWG and CINeMA …

Gordon Guyatt

Gordon Guyatt

McMaster University

Infection prevention and control measures to reduce the transmission of mpox: a systematic review

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Gordon Guyatt

Gordon Guyatt

McMaster University

Proposed diagnostic criteria for the diagnosis of hypophosphatasia in children and adolescents: results from the HPP International Working Group

Hypophosphatasia (HPP) is a rare inborn error of metabolism that presents variably in both age of onset and severity. HPP is caused by pathogenic variants in the ALPL gene, resulting in low activity of tissue nonspecific alkaline phosphatase (TNSALP). Patients with HPP tend have a similar pattern of elevation of natural substrates that can be used to aid in diagnosis. No formal diagnostic guidelines currently exist for the diagnosis of this condition in children, adolescents, or adults. The International HPP Working Group is a comprised of a multidisciplinary team of experts from Europe and North America who have expertise in the diagnosis and management of patients with HPP. This group reviewed 93 papers through a Medline, Medline In-Process, and Embase search for the terms “HPP” and “hypophosphatasia” between 2005 and 2020 and that explicitly address either the diagnosis of HPP in children, clinical …

Gordon Guyatt

Gordon Guyatt

McMaster University

Journal of Evaluation in Clinical Practice

Decision curve analysis based on summary data

Background To realize the potential of precision medicine, predictive models should be integrated within the framework of decision analysis, such as the decision curve analysis (DCA). To date, its application has required individual patient data (IPD) that are often unavailable. Performing DCA using aggregate data without requiring IPD may advance the goals of precision medicine. Methods We present a statistical framework demonstrating that DCA can be conducted by using only the mean and standard deviation (SD) from the raw probabilities of the predictive model. We tested our theoretical framework by performing extensive simulations and comparing the aggregate‐based DCA with IPD DCA. The latter was conducted using IPD from four predictive models that employed logistic regression, Cox or competing risk time‐to‐event modeling including (a) statins for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease (n …

Gordon Guyatt

Gordon Guyatt

McMaster University

Development of the McMaster Cough Severity Questionnaire (MCSQ): A Cough Severity Instrument for Patients With Chronic Cough

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Gordon Guyatt

Gordon Guyatt

McMaster University

Proton pump inhibitors for gastrointestinal bleeding prophylaxis in critically ill patients: A systematic review protocol

Background Proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) are the most commonly prescribed drugs for preventing upper gastrointestinal bleeding in critically ill patients. However, concerns have arisen about the possible harms of using PPIs, including potentially increased risk of pneumonia, Clostridioides difficile infection, and more seriously, an increased risk of death in the most severely ill patients. Triggered by the REVISE trial, which is a forthcoming large randomized trial comparing pantoprazole to placebo in invasively mechanically ventilated patients, we will conduct this systematic review to evaluate the efficacy and safety of PPIs versus no prophylaxis for critically ill patients. Methods We will systematically search randomized trials that compared gastrointestinal bleeding prophylaxis with PPIs versus placebo or no prophylaxis in adults in the intensive care unit (ICU). Pairs of reviewers will independently screen the …

Sudipta Saha

Sudipta Saha

University of Toronto

Frontiers in Pediatrics

Early outcomes of moderate-to-high-risk pediatric congenital cardiac surgery and predictors of extracorporeal circulatory life support requirement

Background Cardiopulmonary failure refractory to medical management after moderate-to-high-risk congenital cardiac surgery may necessitate mechanical support with veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO). On the extreme, ECMO can also be initiated in the setting of cardiac arrest (extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation, ECPR) unresponsive to conventional resuscitative measures. Methods This was a single-center retrospective cohort study of patients (n = 510) aged <3 years old who underwent cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass with a RACHS-1 score ≥3 between 2011 and 2014. Perioperative factors were reviewed to identify predictors of ECMO initiation and mortality in the operating room (OR) and the intensive care unit (ICU). Results A total of 510 patients with a mean surgical age of 10.0 ± 13.4 months were included. Among them, 21 (4%) patients received postoperative ECMO—12 were initiated in the OR and 9 in the ICU. ECMO cannulation was associated with cardiopulmonary bypass duration, aortopulmonary shunt, residual severe mitral regurgitation, vaso-inotropic score, and postprocedural lactate (p < 0.001). Of the 32 (6%) total deaths, 7 (22%) were ECMO patients—4 were elective OR cannulations and 3 were ICU ECPR. Prematurity [hazard ratio (HR): 2.61, p < 0.01), Norwood or Damus–Kaye–Stansel procedure (HR: 4.29, p < 0.001), postoperative left ventricular dysfunction (HR: 5.10, p = 0.01), residual severe tricuspid regurgitation (HR: 6.06, p < 0.001), and postoperative ECMO (ECPR: HR: 15.42, p < 0.001 vs. elective: HR: 5.26, p = 0.01) were associated with …

Gordon Guyatt

Gordon Guyatt

McMaster University

RE: Response to “Canada’s hidden opioid crisis: the health care system’s inability to manage high-dose opioid patients. Fallout from the 2017 Canadian opioid guidelines”

The commentary of Dr. Clarke and colleagues [1] includes several inaccuracies regarding the 2017 Canadian Guideline for opioid therapy and chronic noncancer pain, including some we have already addressed after three of the authors made the same misrepresentations in a different journal.[2, 3]The authors suggest that the 2017 Canadian opioid Guideline led to regulatory investigations of doctors who prescribe high doses, yet the reference they provide makes clear this investigation began in November 2016, six months before the Guideline was published.[4]

Gordon Guyatt

Gordon Guyatt

McMaster University

Treatment of critical bleeding events in patients with immune thrombocytopenia: a protocol for a systematic review and meta-analysis

BackgroundCritical bleeding events in adults and children with ITP are medical emergencies; however, evidence-based treatment protocols are lacking. Due to the severe thrombocytopenia, (typically platelet count less than 20 × 109/L), a critical bleed portends a high risk of death or disability. We plan to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of treatments for critical bleeding in patients with ITP that will inform evidence-based recommendations.MethodsLiterature searches will be conducted in four electronic databases: Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), and PubMed. Eligible studies will be randomized controlled trials or observational studies that enrolled patients with ITP describing one or more interventions for the management of critical bleeding. Title and abstract screening, full-text screening, data extraction, and risk of bias evaluation will be …

Gordon Guyatt

Gordon Guyatt

McMaster University

Hypophosphatasia diagnosis: current state of the art and proposed diagnostic criteria for children and adults

BackgroundThis manuscript provides a summary of the current evidence to support the criteria for diagnosing a child or adult with hypophosphatasia (HPP). The diagnosis of HPP is made on the basis of integrating clinical features, laboratory profile, radiographic features of the condition, and DNA analysis identifying the presence of a pathogenic variant of the tissue nonspecific alkaline phosphatase gene (ALPL). Often, the diagnosis of HPP is significantly delayed in both adults and children, and updated diagnostic criteria are required to keep pace with our evolving understanding regarding the relationship between ALPL genotype and associated HPP clinical features.MethodsAn International Working Group (IWG) on HPP was formed, comprised of a multidisciplinary team of experts from Europe and North America with expertise in the diagnosis and management of patients with HPP. Methodologists (Romina …

2023/11/20

Article Details
Gordon Guyatt

Gordon Guyatt

McMaster University

Progestogens in women with threatened miscarriage or recurrent miscarriage: A meta‐analysis

Introduction Clinical practice guidelines provide inconsistent recommendations regarding progestogen supplementation for threatened and recurrent miscarriage. We conducted a systematic review and meta‐analysis to assess the effectiveness and safety of progestogens for these patients. Material and methods We searched Medline, Embase, and Cochrane Central Registry of Controlled Trials up to October 6, 2023 for randomized control trials (RCTs) comparing progestogen supplementation to placebo or no treatment for pregnant women with threatened or recurrent miscarriage. We assessed the risk of bias using a modified version of the Cochrane risk‐of‐bias tool and the certainty of evidence using the GRADE approach. Results Of 15 RCTs (6616 pregnancies) reporting on threatened or recurrent miscarriage, 12 (5610 pregnancies) reported on threatened miscarriage with or without a prior history of …

Gordon Guyatt

Gordon Guyatt

McMaster University

GRADE Concept Paper 8: Judging the certainty of discrimination performance estimates of prognostic models in a body of validation studies

BackgroundPrognostic models incorporate multiple prognostic factors to estimate the likelihood of future events for individual patients based on their prognostic factor values. Evaluating these models crucially involves conducting studies to assess their predictive performance, like discrimination. Systematic reviews and meta-analyses of these evaluation studies play an essential role in selecting models for clinical practice.MethodsIn this paper, we outline three thresholds to determine the target for certainty rating in the discrimination of prognostic models, as observed across a body of validation studies.Results and ConclusionWe propose three thresholds when rating the certainty of evidence about a prognostic model's discrimination. The first threshold amounts to rating certainty in the model's ability to classify better than random chance. The other two approaches involve setting thresholds informed by other …

Other articles from JACC: Heart Failure journal

Matti Kaisti

Matti Kaisti

Turun yliopisto

JACC: Heart Failure

Smartphone-Based Recognition of Heart Failure by Means of Microelectromechanical Sensors

BackgroundHeart failure (HF) is the leading cause of hospitalization in individuals over 65 years of age. Identifying noninvasive methods to detect HF may address the epidemic of HF. Seismocardiography which measures cardiac vibrations transmitted to the chest wall has recently emerged as a promising technology to detect HF.ObjectivesIn this multicenter study, the authors examined whether seismocardiography using commercially available smartphones can differentiate control subjects from patients with stage C HF.MethodsBoth inpatients and outpatients with HF were enrolled from Finland and the United States. Inpatients with HF were assessed within 2 days of admission, and outpatients were assessed in the ambulatory setting. In a prespecified pooled data analysis, algorithms were derived using logistic regression and then validated using a bootstrap aggregation method.ResultsA total of 217 participants …

Amirali Masoumi

Amirali Masoumi

Columbia University in the City of New York

JACC: Heart Failure

Impact of interventricular interaction on ventricular function: insights from right ventricular pressure-volume analysis

BackgroundInterventricular interactions may be responsible for the decline in ventricular performance observed in various disease states that primarily affect the contralateral ventricle.ObjectivesThis study sought to quantify the impact of such interactions on right ventricular (RV) size and function using clinically stable individuals with left ventricular assist devices (LVADs) as a model for assessing RV hemodynamics while LV loading conditions were acutely manipulated by changing device speed during hemodynamic optimization studies (ie, ramp tests).MethodsThe investigators recorded RV pressure-volume loops with a conductance catheter at various speeds during ramp tests in 20 clinically stable HeartMate3 recipients.ResultsWith faster LVAD speeds and greater LV unloading, indexed RV end-diastolic volume increased (72.28 ± 15.07 mL at low speed vs 75.95 ± 16.90 at high speed; P = 0.04) whereas …

Scott Solomon

Scott Solomon

Harvard University

JACC: Heart Failure

Cause-Specific Healthcare Costs Following Hospitalization for Heart Failure and Cost Offset with SGLT2 Inhibitor Therapy

Background Little is known regarding differences in cause-specific costs between HF with EF≤ 40% versus> 40%, and potential cost implications of SGLT2i therapy. Objectives To compare cause-specific healthcare costs following hospitalization for heart failure (HF) with ejection fraction (EF)≤ 40% versus> 40%, and estimate the cost offset with implementation of SGLT2 inhibitor (SGLT2i) therapy. Methods We examined Medicare beneficiaries hospitalized for HF in the Get With The Guidelines-Heart Failure registry from 2016-2020. Mean per-patient total (excluding drug costs) and cause-specific costs from discharge through 1-year follow-up were calculated and compared between EF≤ 40% vs> 40%. We then estimated risk reductions on total all-cause and HF hospitalizations in a trial-level meta-analysis of 5 pivotal trials of SGLT2i in HF. Finally, we applied these relative treatment effects to Medicare …

Marc S. Sabatine

Marc S. Sabatine

Harvard University

JACC: Heart Failure

Dapagliflozin and Timing of Prior Heart Failure Hospitalization: A Patient-Level Meta-Analysis of DAPA-HF and DELIVER

BackgroundPatients recently hospitalized for heart failure (HF) are at a higher risk of adverse clinical outcomes, but they may experience a greater absolute and relative benefit from effective therapies than individuals who are considered more “stable.”ObjectivesThe authors examined the effects of dapagliflozin according to the timing of prior HF hospitalization in a patient-level pooled analysis of DAPA-HF (Dapagliflozin and Prevention of Adverse Outcomes in Heart Failure) and DELIVER (Dapagliflozin Evaluation to Improve the Lives of Patients with Preserved Ejection Fraction Heart Failure).MethodsA total of 11,007 patients were randomized in DAPA-HF and DELIVER. The primary outcome was the composite of worsening HF or cardiovascular death.ResultsIn total, 12.4% were hospitalized for HF within 3 months of randomization, 14.2% between 3 and 12 months, and 16.8% more than 1 year before …

Sudipta Saha

Sudipta Saha

University of Toronto

JACC: Heart Failure

Factors Impacting Physician Prognostic Accuracy in Heart Failure Patients With Reduced Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction

BackgroundA recent study showed that the accuracy of heart failure (HF) cardiologists and family doctors to predict mortality in outpatients with HF proved suboptimal, performing less well than models.ObjectivesThe authors sought to evaluate patient and physician factors associated with physician accuracy.MethodsThe authors included outpatients with HF from 11 HF clinics. Family doctors and HF cardiologists estimated patient 1-year mortality. They calculated predicted mortality using the Seattle HF Model and followed patients for 1 year to record mortality (or urgent heart transplant or ventricular assist device implant as mortality-equivalent events). Using multivariable logistic regression, the authors evaluated associations among physician experience and confidence in estimates, duration of patient-physician relationship, patient-physician sex concordance, patient race, and predicted risk, with concordant results …

Reza Mohebi

Reza Mohebi

Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai

JACC: Heart Failure

Early Longitudinal Change in Heart Failure Health Status Following Initiation of Canagliflozin

BackgroundSodium glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitor (SGLT2i) therapy improves health status in heart failure (HF). There is insufficient description regarding the timing, rate, and extent of the health status changes in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) after initiation of SGLT2is.ObjectivesThe authors sought to model the association of canagliflozin treatment with rates of change in HF symptom status in HFpEF and HFrEF.MethodsStudy participants with HFrEF and HFpEF were treated with either canagliflozin 100 mg or placebo for 12 weeks. The Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire Total Symptom Score (KCCQ-TSS) was assessed at baseline and at 2, 4, 6, and 12 weeks. Longitudinal modeling assessed slope of KCCQ change across the study.ResultsAmong 448 individuals with HF (181 with HFrEF and 267 with HFpEF), participants …

Lu Qi

Lu Qi

Harvard University

JACC: Heart Failure

The EAT-Lancet Diet Index, Plasma Proteins, and Risk of Heart Failure in a Population-Based Cohort

BackgroundThe landmark EAT-Lancet Commission proposed that a planetary health diet is comprised mainly of plant-based foods. However, studies examining whether this diet is associated with heart failure (HF) are currently lacking. In addition, the potential proteomics mechanism on the association between diet and HF warrants further elucidation.ObjectivesThis study aims to both examine the association between the EAT-Lancet diet index and risk of HF and identify plasma proteins underlying such an association.MethodsThis prospective cohort study included 23,260 participants. HF cases during the follow-up were identified through the Swedish national register. An EAT-Lancet diet index (score range: 0-42) was created to assess adherence to the EAT-Lancet reference diet. In a subcohort (n = 4,742), fasting plasma proteins were quantified.ResultsDuring a median follow-up of 25.0 years, 1,768 incident HF …

Youssef MK Farag, MD, PhD, MPH

Youssef MK Farag, MD, PhD, MPH

Harvard University

JACC: Heart Failure

Plasma Ferritin Levels, Incident Heart Failure, and Cardiac Structure and Function: The ARIC Study

BackgroundWhether iron deficiency contributes to incident heart failure (HF) and cardiac dysfunction has important implications given the prevalence of iron deficiency and the availability of several therapeutics for iron repletion.ObjectivesThe aim of this study was to estimate the associations of plasma ferritin level with incident HF overall, HF phenotypes, and cardiac structure and function measures in older adults.MethodsParticipants in the ongoing, longitudinal ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study who were free of prevalent HF and anemia were studied. The associations of plasma ferritin levels with incident HF overall and heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression models. Linear regression models estimated the cross-sectional associations of plasma ferritin with echocardiographic …

Utibe R. Essien

Utibe R. Essien

University of Pittsburgh

JACC: Heart Failure

National Trends in Hospital Performance in Guideline-Recommended Pharmacologic Treatment for Heart Failure at Discharge

BackgroundThe use of recommended heart failure (HF) medications has improved over time, but opportunities for improvement persist among women and at rural hospitals.ObjectivesThis study aims to characterize national trends in performance in the use of guideline-recommended pharmacologic treatment for HF at U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) hospitals, at which medication copayments are modest.MethodsAmong patients discharged from VA hospitals with HF between January 1, 2013, and December 31, 2019, receipt of all guideline-recommended HF pharmacotherapy among eligible patients was assessed, consisting of evidence-based beta-blockers; angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, angiotensin receptor blockers, or angiotensin receptor neprilysin inhibitors; mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists; and oral anticoagulation.ResultsOf 55,560 patients at 122 hospitals, 32,304 (58.1 …

Karen Joynt Maddox

Karen Joynt Maddox

Washington University in St. Louis

JACC: Heart Failure

Cause-Specific Healthcare Costs Following Hospitalization for Heart Failure and Cost Offset with SGLT2 Inhibitor Therapy

Background Little is known regarding differences in cause-specific costs between HF with EF≤ 40% versus> 40%, and potential cost implications of SGLT2i therapy. Objectives To compare cause-specific healthcare costs following hospitalization for heart failure (HF) with ejection fraction (EF)≤ 40% versus> 40%, and estimate the cost offset with implementation of SGLT2 inhibitor (SGLT2i) therapy. Methods We examined Medicare beneficiaries hospitalized for HF in the Get With The Guidelines-Heart Failure registry from 2016-2020. Mean per-patient total (excluding drug costs) and cause-specific costs from discharge through 1-year follow-up were calculated and compared between EF≤ 40% vs> 40%. We then estimated risk reductions on total all-cause and HF hospitalizations in a trial-level meta-analysis of 5 pivotal trials of SGLT2i in HF. Finally, we applied these relative treatment effects to Medicare …

Mark C Petrie

Mark C Petrie

University of Glasgow

JACC: Heart Failure

Effect of PCI on Health Status in Ischemic Left Ventricular Dysfunction: Insights from REVIVED-BCIS2

BackgroundIn the Revascularization for Ischemic Ventricular Dysfunction (REVIVED-BCIS2) trial, percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) did not reduce the incidence of death or hospitalization for heart failure.ObjectivesThis prespecified secondary analysis investigated the effect of PCI on health status measured with the KCCQ combined with the primary outcome in a win ratio.MethodsParticipants with severe ischemic left ventricular dysfunction were randomized to either PCI in addition to optimal medical therapy (PCI) or optimal medical therapy alone (OMT). The primary outcome was a hierarchical composite of all-cause death, HHF and KCCQ overall summary score (OSS) at 24 months analysed using the unmatched win ratio. The key secondary endpoint was a KCCQ-OSS responder analysis.Results347 participants were randomized to PCI and 353 to OMT. Median (IQR) age was 70.0 (63.3 to 76.1) years …

Tero Koivisto

Tero Koivisto

Turun yliopisto

JACC: Heart Failure

Smartphone-Based Recognition of Heart Failure by Means of Microelectromechanical Sensors

BackgroundHeart failure (HF) is the leading cause of hospitalization in individuals over 65 years of age. Identifying noninvasive methods to detect HF may address the epidemic of HF. Seismocardiography which measures cardiac vibrations transmitted to the chest wall has recently emerged as a promising technology to detect HF.ObjectivesIn this multicenter study, the authors examined whether seismocardiography using commercially available smartphones can differentiate control subjects from patients with stage C HF.MethodsBoth inpatients and outpatients with HF were enrolled from Finland and the United States. Inpatients with HF were assessed within 2 days of admission, and outpatients were assessed in the ambulatory setting. In a prespecified pooled data analysis, algorithms were derived using logistic regression and then validated using a bootstrap aggregation method.ResultsA total of 217 participants …

Brian Claggett

Brian Claggett

Harvard University

JACC: Heart Failure

Dapagliflozin and Timing of Prior Heart Failure Hospitalization: A Patient-Level Meta-Analysis of DAPA-HF and DELIVER

BackgroundPatients recently hospitalized for heart failure (HF) are at a higher risk of adverse clinical outcomes, but they may experience a greater absolute and relative benefit from effective therapies than individuals who are considered more “stable.”ObjectivesThe authors examined the effects of dapagliflozin according to the timing of prior HF hospitalization in a patient-level pooled analysis of DAPA-HF (Dapagliflozin and Prevention of Adverse Outcomes in Heart Failure) and DELIVER (Dapagliflozin Evaluation to Improve the Lives of Patients with Preserved Ejection Fraction Heart Failure).MethodsA total of 11,007 patients were randomized in DAPA-HF and DELIVER. The primary outcome was the composite of worsening HF or cardiovascular death.ResultsIn total, 12.4% were hospitalized for HF within 3 months of randomization, 14.2% between 3 and 12 months, and 16.8% more than 1 year before …

Adam DeVore

Adam DeVore

Duke University

JACC: Heart Failure

Cause-Specific Healthcare Costs Following Hospitalization for Heart Failure and Cost Offset with SGLT2 Inhibitor Therapy

Background Little is known regarding differences in cause-specific costs between HF with EF≤ 40% versus> 40%, and potential cost implications of SGLT2i therapy. Objectives To compare cause-specific healthcare costs following hospitalization for heart failure (HF) with ejection fraction (EF)≤ 40% versus> 40%, and estimate the cost offset with implementation of SGLT2 inhibitor (SGLT2i) therapy. Methods We examined Medicare beneficiaries hospitalized for HF in the Get With The Guidelines-Heart Failure registry from 2016-2020. Mean per-patient total (excluding drug costs) and cause-specific costs from discharge through 1-year follow-up were calculated and compared between EF≤ 40% vs> 40%. We then estimated risk reductions on total all-cause and HF hospitalizations in a trial-level meta-analysis of 5 pivotal trials of SGLT2i in HF. Finally, we applied these relative treatment effects to Medicare …

Aditi Nayak

Aditi Nayak

Emory & Henry College

JACC: Heart Failure

Gender and Race Differences in HeartMate3 Left Ventricular Assist Device as a Bridge to Transplantation

BackgroundGender and racial disparities exist after left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation. Compared with older devices, the HeartMate 3 (HM3) (Abbott Cardiovascular) has demonstrated improved survival. Whether HM3 differentially improves outcomes by gender or race and ethnic groups is unknown.ObjectivesThe purpose of this study is to examine differences by gender and race in the use of HM3 among patients listed for heart transplantation (HT) and associated waitlist and post-transplant outcomes.MethodsThe authors examined all patients (20% women, 33% Black) who received LVADs as bridge to transplantation (BTT) between January 2018 and June 2020, in the OPTN (Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network) database. Trends in use of HM3 were evaluated by gender and race. Competing events of death/delisting and transplantation were evaluated using subdistribution hazard …

Gordon Guyatt

Gordon Guyatt

McMaster University

JACC: Heart Failure

Factors Impacting Physician Prognostic Accuracy in Heart Failure Patients With Reduced Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction

BackgroundA recent study showed that the accuracy of heart failure (HF) cardiologists and family doctors to predict mortality in outpatients with HF proved suboptimal, performing less well than models.ObjectivesThe authors sought to evaluate patient and physician factors associated with physician accuracy.MethodsThe authors included outpatients with HF from 11 HF clinics. Family doctors and HF cardiologists estimated patient 1-year mortality. They calculated predicted mortality using the Seattle HF Model and followed patients for 1 year to record mortality (or urgent heart transplant or ventricular assist device implant as mortality-equivalent events). Using multivariable logistic regression, the authors evaluated associations among physician experience and confidence in estimates, duration of patient-physician relationship, patient-physician sex concordance, patient race, and predicted risk, with concordant results …

Sanjiv J. Shah

Sanjiv J. Shah

Northwestern University

JACC: Heart Failure

Targeted Metabolomic Profiling of Dapagliflozin in Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction: The PRESERVED-HF Trial

BackgroundAlthough sodium glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2is) improve heart failure (HF)-related symptoms and outcomes in HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), underlying mechanisms remain unclear. In HF with reduced EF, dapagliflozin altered ketone and fatty acid metabolites vs placebo; however, metabolite signatures of SGLT2is have not been well elucidated in HFpEF.ObjectivesThe goal of this study was to assess whether SGLT2i treatment altered systemic metabolic pathways and their relationship to outcomes in HFpEF.MethodsTargeted profiling of 64 metabolites was performed from 293 participants in PRESERVED-HF (Dapagliflozin in PRESERVED Ejection Fraction Heart Failure), a 12-week, placebo-controlled trial of dapagliflozin. Linear regression assessed changes in metabolite factors defined by principal components analysis (PCA) with dapagliflozin vs placebo. The …

John D Belcher

John D Belcher

University of Minnesota-Twin Cities

JACC: Heart Failure

Donor Electrocardiogram Associations With Cardiac Dysfunction, Heart Transplant Use, and Survival: The Donor Heart Study

BackgroundPotential organ donors often exhibit abnormalities on electrocardiograms (ECGs) after brain death, but the physiological and prognostic significance of such abnormalities is unknown.ObjectivesThis study sought to characterize the prevalence of ECG abnormalities in a nationwide cohort of potential cardiac donors and their associations with cardiac dysfunction, use for heart transplantation (HT), and recipient outcomes.MethodsThe Donor Heart Study enrolled 4,333 potential cardiac organ donors at 8 organ procurement organizations across the United States from 2015 to 2020. A blinded expert reviewer interpreted all ECGs, which were obtained once hemodynamic stability was achieved after brain death and were repeated 24 ± 6 hours later. ECG findings were summarized, and their associations with other cardiac diagnostic findings, use for HT, and graft survival were assessed using univariable and …

Scott Solomon

Scott Solomon

Harvard University

JACC: Heart Failure

Dapagliflozin and Timing of Prior Heart Failure Hospitalization: A Patient-Level Meta-Analysis of DAPA-HF and DELIVER

BackgroundPatients recently hospitalized for heart failure (HF) are at a higher risk of adverse clinical outcomes, but they may experience a greater absolute and relative benefit from effective therapies than individuals who are considered more “stable.”ObjectivesThe authors examined the effects of dapagliflozin according to the timing of prior HF hospitalization in a patient-level pooled analysis of DAPA-HF (Dapagliflozin and Prevention of Adverse Outcomes in Heart Failure) and DELIVER (Dapagliflozin Evaluation to Improve the Lives of Patients with Preserved Ejection Fraction Heart Failure).MethodsA total of 11,007 patients were randomized in DAPA-HF and DELIVER. The primary outcome was the composite of worsening HF or cardiovascular death.ResultsIn total, 12.4% were hospitalized for HF within 3 months of randomization, 14.2% between 3 and 12 months, and 16.8% more than 1 year before …

Brian Claggett

Brian Claggett

Harvard University

JACC: Heart Failure

Plasma Ferritin Levels, Incident Heart Failure, and Cardiac Structure and Function: The ARIC Study

BackgroundWhether iron deficiency contributes to incident heart failure (HF) and cardiac dysfunction has important implications given the prevalence of iron deficiency and the availability of several therapeutics for iron repletion.ObjectivesThe aim of this study was to estimate the associations of plasma ferritin level with incident HF overall, HF phenotypes, and cardiac structure and function measures in older adults.MethodsParticipants in the ongoing, longitudinal ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities) study who were free of prevalent HF and anemia were studied. The associations of plasma ferritin levels with incident HF overall and heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) were estimated using Cox proportional hazards regression models. Linear regression models estimated the cross-sectional associations of plasma ferritin with echocardiographic …