Alan D Lopez

Alan D Lopez

University of Washington

H-index: 184

North America-United States

Professor Information

University

University of Washington

Position

Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation

Citations(all)

380281

Citations(since 2020)

189716

Cited By

252109

hIndex(all)

184

hIndex(since 2020)

132

i10Index(all)

466

i10Index(since 2020)

339

Email

University Profile Page

University of Washington

Research & Interests List

Epidemiology

burden of disease

causes of death

Top articles of Alan D Lopez

Estimating causes of community death of adults in Myanmar from a nationwide population sample: Application of verbal autopsy

In Myanmar 84% of deaths occur in the community, of which half are unregistered and none have a reliable cause of death (COD) recorded. Since 2018, Myanmar has introduced improved registration practices and verbal autopsy (VA) to assess whether such methods can produce policy relevant information on community COD. Community health midwives and public health supervisors grade II collected VAs on over 80,000 deaths which occurred between January 2018 and December 2019 in a nationwide sample of 42 townships in Myanmar. Electronic methods were used to collect and consolidate data. The most probable COD was assigned using the SmartVA Analyze 2.0 computer algorithm. Completeness of VA death reporting increased to 71% in 2019. Most adult (12+ years) deaths (82%) were due to non-communicable diseases, primarily stroke, ischemic heart disease and chronic respiratory disease, for both men and women. VA results were consistent with Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study estimates, except for cirrhosis in men, which was more common, and had a younger age distribution of death than the GBD. Large scale implementation of improved death registration practices and COD diagnosis using VA is feasible and provides plausible, timely, disaggregated and policy relevant information on the leading causes of community death. Addressing the burden of non-communicable diseases, particularly cirrhosis in young men, is an important public health priority in Myanmar. Improving completeness of VA death reporting in poorly performing townships and in neonates, children and women will further improve the policy utility …

Authors

Khin Sandar Bo,Sonja M Firth,Tint Pa Pa Phyo,Nyo Nyo Mar,Ko Ko Zaw,Naw Hsah Kapaw,Tim Adair,Alan D Lopez

Journal

PLOS Global Public Health

Published Date

2023/11/1

Assessing the policy utility of routine mortality statistics: a global classification of countries

MethodsWe compiled routine death and cause of death statistics data from 2015–2019 from national authorities. We estimated completeness of death registration using the Adair-Lopez empirical method. The quality of cause of death data was assessed by evaluating the assignment of usable causes of death among people younger than 80 years. We grouped data into nine policy utility categories based on data availability, registration completeness and diagnostic precision.

Authors

Tim Adair,Lene Mikkelsen,Jessica Hooper,Azza Badr,Alan D Lopez

Journal

Bulletin of the World Health Organization

Published Date

2023/12/12

Health sector leadership to strengthen civil registration and vital statistics systems

Health sector leadership to strengthen civil registration and vital statistics systems - PMC Back to Top Skip to main content NIH NLM Logo Access keys NCBI Homepage MyNCBI Homepage Main Content Main Navigation Search PMC Full-Text Archive Search in PMC Advanced Search User Guide Journal List Bull World Health Organ v.101(12); 2023 Dec 1 PMC10680108 Other Formats PDF (1.9M) Actions Cite Collections Share Permalink Copy RESOURCES Similar articles Cited by other articles Links to NCBI Databases Journal List Bull World Health Organ v.101(12); 2023 Dec 1 PMC10680108 As a library, NLM provides access to scientific literature. Inclusion in an NLM database does not imply endorsement of, or agreement with, the contents by NLM or the National Institutes of Health. Learn more: PMC Disclaimer | PMC Copyright Notice Logo of bullwho Bull World Health Organ. 2023 Dec 1; 101(12): 751–751A…

Authors

Alan D Lopez

Journal

Bulletin of the World Health Organization

Published Date

2023/12/12

Comparative performance of national civil registration and vital statistics systems: a global assessment

ObjectiveTo assess the current state of the world’s civil registration and vital statistics systems based on publicly available data and to propose strategic development pathways, including priority interventions, for countries at different levels of civil registration and vital statistics performance.MethodsWe applied a performance assessment framework to publicly available data, using a composite indicator highly correlated with civil registration and vital statistics performance which we then adjusted for data incomparability and missing values.

Authors

Lene Mikkelsen,Jessica Hooper,Tim Adair,Azza Badr,Alan D Lopez

Journal

Bulletin of the World Health Organization

Published Date

2023/12/12

Global analysis of birth statistics from civil registration and vital statistics systems

ObjectiveTo assess civil registration and vital statistics completeness for births in World Health Organization’s Member States and identify data completeness gaps.MethodsFor the 194 Member States, we sourced birth registration data from the United Nations Children’s Fund database of national surveys, and, where available, vital registration reports. We acquired publicly available vital statistics compiled by national authorities. We determined civil registration completeness as the percentage of living children younger than five years whose births have been reported as registered. We evaluated vital statistics completeness against the United Nations World Population Prospects' live birth estimates, and grouped countries into seven categories based on their civil registration and vital statistics completeness.

Authors

Tim Adair,Azza Badr,Lene Mikkelsen,Jessica Hooper,Alan D Lopez

Journal

Bulletin of the World Health Organization

Published Date

2023/12/12

Evolution of the global smoking epidemic over the past half century: strengthening the evidence base for policy action

BackgroundDespite compelling evidence on the health hazards of tobacco products accumulated over the past 70 years, smoking remains a leading cause of death worldwide. Policy action to control smoking requires timely, comprehensive, and comparable evidence on smoking levels within and across countries. This study provides a recent assessment of that evidence based on the methods used in the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study.MethodsWe estimated annual prevalence of, and mortality attributable to smoking any form of tobacco from 1970 to 2020 and 1990–2020, respectively, using the methods and data sources (including 3431 surveys and studies) from the GBD collaboration. We modelled annual prevalence of current and former smoking, distributions of cigarette-equivalents per smoker per day, pack-years for current smoking, years since cessation for former smokers and estimated population …

Authors

Xiaochen Dai,Emmanuela Gakidou,Alan D Lopez

Journal

Tobacco control

Published Date

2022/3/1

Is the rise in reported dementia mortality real? Analysis of multiple-cause-of-death data for Australia and the United States

Official statistics in Australia and the United States show large recent increases in dementia mortality rates. In this study, we assessed whether these trends are biased by an increasing tendency of medical certifiers (predominantly physicians) to report on the death certificate that dementia was a direct cause of death. Regression models of multiple-cause-of-death data in Australia (2006–2016) and the United States (2006–2017) were constructed to adjust dementia mortality rates for changes in death certification practices. Compared with official statistics, the recent increase in adjusted age-standardized dementia death rates was less than half as large in Australia and about two-thirds as large in the United States. Further adjustment for changes in reporting of dementia anywhere on the death certificate implied even lower increases in dementia mortality. Declines in reporting of cardiovascular diseases as …

Authors

Tim Adair,Jeromey Temple,Kaarin J Anstey,Alan D Lopez

Journal

American Journal of Epidemiology

Published Date

2022/7

Global burden of bacterial antimicrobial resistance in 2019: a systematic analysis

BackgroundAntimicrobial resistance (AMR) poses a major threat to human health around the world. Previous publications have estimated the effect of AMR on incidence, deaths, hospital length of stay, and health-care costs for specific pathogen–drug combinations in select locations. To our knowledge, this study presents the most comprehensive estimates of AMR burden to date.MethodsWe estimated deaths and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) attributable to and associated with bacterial AMR for 23 pathogens and 88 pathogen–drug combinations in 204 countries and territories in 2019. We obtained data from systematic literature reviews, hospital systems, surveillance systems, and other sources, covering 471 million individual records or isolates and 7585 study-location-years. We used predictive statistical modelling to produce estimates of AMR burden for all locations, including for locations with no data …

Authors

Christopher JL Murray,Kevin Shunji Ikuta,Fablina Sharara,Lucien Swetschinski,Gisela Robles Aguilar,Authia Gray,Chieh Han,Catherine Bisignano,Puja Rao,Eve Wool,Sarah C Johnson,Annie J Browne,Michael Give Chipeta,Frederick Fell,Sean Hackett,Georgina Haines-Woodhouse,Bahar H Kashef Hamadani,Emmanuelle AP Kumaran,Barney McManigal,Sureeruk Achalapong,Ramesh Agarwal,Samuel Akech,Samuel Albertson,John Amuasi,Jason Andrews,Aleskandr Aravkin,Elizabeth Ashley,François-Xavier Babin,Freddie Bailey,Stephen Baker,Buddha Basnyat,Adrie Bekker,Rose Bender,James A Berkley,Adhisivam Bethou,Julia Bielicki,Suppawat Boonkasidecha,James Bukosia,Cristina Carvalheiro,Carlos Castañeda-Orjuela,Vilada Chansamouth,Suman Chaurasia,Sara Chiurchiù,Fazle Chowdhury,Rafai Clotaire Donatien,Aislinn J Cook,Ben Cooper,Tim R Cressey,Elia Criollo-Mora,Matthew Cunningham,Saffiatou Darboe,Nicholas PJ Day,Maia De Luca,Klara Dokova,Angela Dramowski,Susanna J Dunachie,Thuy Duong Bich,Tim Eckmanns,Daniel Eibach,Amir Emami,Nicholas Feasey,Natasha Fisher-Pearson,Karen Forrest,Coralith Garcia,Denise Garrett,Petra Gastmeier,Ababi Zergaw Giref,Rachel Claire Greer,Vikas Gupta,Sebastian Haller,Andrea Haselbeck,Simon I Hay,Marianne Holm,Susan Hopkins,Yingfen Hsia,Kenneth C Iregbu,Jan Jacobs,Daniel Jarovsky,Fatemeh Javanmardi,Adam WJ Jenney,Meera Khorana,Suwimon Khusuwan,Niranjan Kissoon,Elsa Kobeissi,Tomislav Kostyanev,Fiorella Krapp,Ralf Krumkamp,Ajay Kumar,Hmwe Hmwe Kyu,Cherry Lim,Kruy Lim,Direk Limmathurotsakul,Michael James Loftus,Miles Lunn,Jianing Ma,Anand Manoharan,Florian Marks,Jürgen May,Mayfong Mayxay,Neema Mturi,Tatiana Munera-Huertas,Patrick Musicha,Lilian A Musila,Marisa Marcia Mussi-Pinhata,Ravi Narayan Naidu,Tomoka Nakamura,Ruchi Nanavati,Sushma Nangia,Paul Newton,Chanpheaktra Ngoun,Amanda Novotney,Davis Nwakanma,Christina W Obiero,Theresa J Ochoa,Antonio Olivas-Martinez,Piero Olliaro,Ednah Ooko,Edgar Ortiz-Brizuela,Pradthana Ounchanum,Gideok D Pak,Jose Luis Paredes,Anton Yariv Peleg,Carlo Perrone,Thong Phe,Koukeo Phommasone,Nishad Plakkal,Alfredo Ponce-de-Leon,Mathieu Raad,Tanusha Ramdin,Sayaphet Rattanavong,Amy Riddell,Tamalee Roberts,Julie Victoria Robotham,Anna Roca,Victor Daniel Rosenthal,Kristina E Rudd,Neal Russell,Helio S Sader,Weerawut Saengchan,Jesse Schnall,John Anthony Gerard Scott,Samroeng Seekaew,Mike Sharland,Madhusudhan Shivamallappa,Jose Sifuentes-Osornio,Andrew J Simpson,Nicolas Steenkeste,Andrew James Stewardson,Temenuga Stoeva,Nidanuch Tasak

Journal

The lancet

Published Date

2022/2/12

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